01 / Problem
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Paper 013 / June 13, 2026
A Bayesian Null Ledger for Electrostatic Projection Experiments
Combining compatible negative results without collapsing them into folklore
01 / Abstract
Abstract
Projection-electromagnetism experiments are likely to produce null results. This paper proposes a Bayesian null ledger that treats each experiment as a constrained likelihood over operator amplitudes rather than as a binary success or failure. The ledger stores apparatus metadata, transformation controls, nuisance models, priors, posterior bounds, and declared non-goals. It is designed for cumulative exclusion of scalar, boundary-flux, fifth-current, and artifact families.
02 / Frame
Research Frame
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\[
p(a\mid D_{1:N}) \propto p(a)\prod_{e=1}^{N}\int L_e(D_e\mid a,\eta_e)\,p(\eta_e\mid I_e)\,d\eta_e .
\]
\[
B_{mn}=\frac{p(D\mid M_m)}{p(D\mid M_n)},\qquad
a_{95}=\inf\{a: P(|A|<a\mid D)\ge 0.95\}.
\]
03 / Structure
Paper Structure
The manuscript follows the JMP0X1B discipline: state the problem, formalize the model, name the claims, and publish enough source material for review and revision.
02 / Model
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03 / Claims
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04 / Evidence Plan
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04 / Files
Paper Files
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